According to the latest typhoon report, Typhoon Yinxing (known as Marce in the Philippines) – the most recent typhoon of this year’s storm season, is expected to enter the South China Sea this week.
According to the Japan Meteorological Agency, Typhoon Yinxing has just formed offshore from the Philippines, and its movement direction indicates that it may enter the South China Sea. Specifically, at 6 AM on November 4, Typhoon Yinxing had maximum sustained winds near its center of 8 on the Beaufort scale (18 m/s), with gusts reaching 10 (25 m/s).
Forecast for Typhoon Yinxing suggests it may enter the South China Sea in the latter half of this week. (Image: PAGASA).
Regarding this new storm, the Japanese meteorological agency predicts that over the next 3-4 days, Typhoon Yinxing will primarily move in a west-northwest direction. When it reaches the waters off the eastern coast of Luzon Island (Philippines), it may change course to the west, heading toward the northern waters of Luzon Island, and then potentially enter the South China Sea.
Forecasts for intensity over the next 24 hours indicate that the storm is unlikely to intensify. From tomorrow onward, the storm is expected to gain strength, with forecasts suggesting it could reach intensity levels of 12 on the Beaufort scale (35 m/s), with gusts up to 15 (50 m/s).
Meanwhile, weather forecaster Liu Yu-chih from CWA has stated that the latest storm, following Super Typhoon Kong-rey, is in an optimal environment for further strengthening.
Typhoon Yinxing (known as Marce in the Philippines). (Image: PAGASA).
Regarding the path of Typhoon Yinxing, he predicts that the storm will move along a trajectory toward the northeast of Luzon Island in the Philippines until November 6. The CWA storm forecaster emphasizes that November 6 will be a critical time for Typhoon Yinxing as this is when the storm may change direction. Current forecasts indicate that Typhoon Yinxing might weaken and affect the Ryukyu Islands – a chain of islands in the western Pacific close to the eastern edge of the East China Sea.
However, some forecasting models suggest that Typhoon Yinxing is likely to head west and pass north of the Philippines. Other models indicate that the storm may move toward the waters east of Taiwan (China) and then proceed northward, Liu noted.
It is known that Yinxing is the 22nd typhoon in the western Pacific for the 2024 storm season. The name Yinxing was used to replace the name Typhoon Yutu from 2018. In Chinese, Yinxing refers to the ginkgo tree.
Additionally, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) reported that the center of Typhoon Yinxing is currently approximately 935 km east of the central Philippines.
PAGASA forecasts that from now until November 6, the storm will primarily move in a northwest direction, then slow down, proceeding west toward the northern waters of Luzon Island.
Notably, PAGASA predicts that the storm will continue to strengthen in the coming days, with intensity potentially reaching level 13 (140 km/h).
