The forecast for winter in Northern Vietnam indicates an early arrival with temperatures expected to be significantly lower than the long-term average. In contrast, the Central and Southern regions are projected to experience higher rainfall than the long-term average…
According to the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, the ENSO forecast suggests a continued presence of La Niña conditions from now until the end of 2022, with a probability of approximately 60-65%, potentially extending into the early months of 2023.
This year’s winter arrives early in Northern Vietnam. (Photo: Hữu Nghị).
Experts predict that from now until February 2023, the East Sea will likely experience around 8 to 10 storms and tropical depressions, with approximately 3 to 5 of these potentially affecting the mainland of Vietnam directly. There is a risk of complex storm movements and heavy rain in the Central region during the last months of 2022. It is also possible that tropical depressions will still occur in the South China Sea in January 2023.
From October to November 2022, the Central and Southern regions are forecasted to receive higher rainfall than the long-term average, raising concerns about the high risk of intense rainfall. Additionally, in the Southern region during the early months of 2023, there is a possibility of sporadic off-season rain. Nationwide, authorities should remain vigilant for hazardous weather phenomena such as thunderstorms, whirlwinds, and hail.
The Northern and Central regions are expected to have average temperatures in September and October 2022 that are about 0.5 degrees Celsius higher than the long-term average; in November and December 2022, temperatures are generally forecasted to be 0.5 to 1 degrees Celsius lower than the long-term average; and in January and February 2023, temperatures are expected to be around the long-term average for the same period.
The Central Highlands and Southern regions are anticipated to have average temperatures in September and October 2022 that are about 0.5 degrees Celsius higher than the long-term average; from November 2022 to February 2023, temperatures are generally expected to be around 0.5 degrees Celsius lower than the long-term average for the same period.
Cold air is likely to act early, and temperatures in the early months of winter in Northern provinces may be lower than the long-term average for the same period.
