Expert “storm predictor” Nguyen Ngoc Huy has forecasted two complex scenarios regarding Typhoon Tra Mi. One scenario indicates that the storm may “turn back” to the sea.
In a quick interview with our reporter, Dr. Nguyen Ngoc Huy, who is popular on social media under the nickname “Weather Huy”, warned about two scenarios as Typhoon Tra Mi approaches Vietnam.
- The first scenario suggests that when the storm comes close to the shore on October 27, it will weaken to wind speeds of approximately 8 to 9. Subsequently, the storm will downgrade into a low-pressure area, causing heavy rain in the North Central region from October 27 to 30.
- The second scenario is more complex. When the storm approaches the shore on October 27, it will interact with cold air and be overpowered by a high-pressure system, causing it to reverse direction back towards the sea and weaken.
Dr. Nguyen Ngoc Huy predicts that Typhoon Tra Mi may “circle around” before making landfall (Photo: NVCC).
However, after turning back and with the high-pressure system dissipating, the storm may “regroup” its forces and once again approach the shore in the early days of November.
This scenario is due to the cold air moving south from the Tibetan Plateau, accompanied by continental high pressure with atmospheric pressure reaching 1020 hPa.
These are all weather phenomena that are “natural enemies” of storms, so it is understandable that the storm weakens or changes its path.
“The storm appears when multiple weather patterns occur simultaneously, making its path very complex,” Dr. Nguyen Ngoc Huy commented.
Previously, this expert also warned that the situation of rain, storms, and floods will be complex and unpredictable in Central Vietnam, lasting until November.
Regarding the increasing frequency and intensity of storms in the South China Sea, Dr. Huy believes that climate change creates favorable conditions for storm development, as they tend to absorb warm seawater like a “sponge,” gradually increasing in both size and frequency of occurrence.
Additionally, this year marks the transition from El Niño to La Niña. The rapid phase transition has heated and caused thermal imbalance in the oceans.
This factor has contributed to increasing the energy supply for the formation and development of tropical storms.
