Weather expert Nguyễn Ngọc Huy has provided predictions regarding two complex scenarios for Typhoon Trà Mi. One scenario suggests that the typhoon could “turn back” to the sea.
In a quick share with reporters, Dr. Nguyễn Ngọc Huy, who is well-known on social media by the nickname “Huy the Weather”, warned of two scenarios as Typhoon Trà Mi approaches Vietnam.
- The first scenario indicates that when the typhoon approaches the coast on October 27, it will weaken to wind speeds of about 8 to 9. Following this, the typhoon will dissipate into a low-pressure area, causing heavy rains in the North Central region from October 27 to 30.
- The second scenario is more complex, as the typhoon approaches the coast on October 27 and interacts with cold air and is overpowered by a high-pressure system, potentially turning back to sea and weakening.
Dr. Nguyễn Ngọc Huy predicts that Typhoon Trà Mi may “circle around” before making landfall (Photo: Provided by the source).
However, after turning back and the high-pressure system dissipates, the typhoon may “regroup” its forces and approach the coast again in the early days of November.
The reason for this scenario is that cold air is currently moving south from the Tibetan Plateau, accompanied by continental high pressure with atmospheric pressure reaching 1020hPa.
These are all weather phenomena that are the “natural enemy” of typhoons, making it understandable for the typhoon to weaken or change its path.
“The typhoon appears when many weather patterns occur simultaneously, so its path will be very complex,” Dr. Nguyễn Ngọc Huy commented.
Previously, this expert also warned that the situation of rain, storms, and floods will be complex and unpredictable in the Central region and may last until November.
Regarding the increase in both the frequency and intensity of typhoons in the East Sea region, Dr. Huy believes that climate change creates favorable conditions for typhoon development, as they tend to absorb warm seawater like a “sponge,” gradually increasing both in size and frequency.
Additionally, this year marks the transition from El Niño to La Niña. The rapid phase transition has heated and caused an imbalance in humidity and temperature over the ocean.
This factor has contributed to increasing the energy supply for the formation and development of tropical storms.